{"id":4919,"date":"2026-10-06T11:52:21","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T03:52:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lqhyjs.com\/?p=4919"},"modified":"2026-10-06T11:52:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T03:52:21","slug":"%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8waller%ef%bc%8c%e8%81%94%e5%87%86%e4%bc%9a%e4%b8%bb%e5%b8%ad%e6%9b%b4%e6%9b%bf%e8%bf%9b%e5%85%a5%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e6%97%b6%e5%88%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/?p=4919","title":{"rendered":"\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u62bc\u6ce8Waller\uff0c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u66f4\u66ff\u8fdb\u5165\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u523b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"cover<\/div>
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\u90a3\u4e48\u4e0b\u4e00\u5c4a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8c01\uff1f\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u9010\u6e10\u7ed9\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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8 \u6708 7 \u65e5\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a Kalshi \u4e0a\uff0c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b Christopher Waller \u7684\u80dc\u7387\u4ece\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u7684 16% \u66b4\u6da8\u81f3 50% \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u8d85\u8d8a\u6240\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6b64\u540e\u8d54\u7387\u6709\u6240\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46 Waller \u59cb\u7ec8\u4fdd\u6301\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u200c<\/span>
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\n

\u622a\u81f3\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\uff0cPolymarket \u663e\u793a Waller \u4ecd\u4ee5 35% \u7684\u673a\u7387\u9886\u5148\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u70ed\u95e8\u5bf9\u624b Kevin Hassett \u548c Kevin Warsh \u7684 17%\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\n

\u4e3a\u4f55\u5e02\u573a\u7a81\u7136\u770b\u597d\u8fd9\u4f4d 65 \u5c81\u7684\u73b0\u4efb\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\uff1f <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u62a5\u5bfc\u6216\u8bb8\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7ebf\u7d22\uff1a\u5ddd\u666e\u987e\u95ee\u56e2\u961f\u8ba4\u4e3a Waller\u300c\u613f\u610f\u57fa\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u800c\u975e\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\u5236\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u300d\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5bf9\u300c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4f53\u7cfb\u6709\u6df1\u5165\u4e86\u89e3\u300d\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0cWaller \u66fe\u662f\u5ddd\u666e 2020 \u5e74\u63d0\u540d\u8fdb\u5165\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7684\u7406\u4e8b\u3002\u800c\u5728 7 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u7684 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0cWaller \u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u4ef6\u683c\u5916\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u4e8b\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4ed6\u4e0e\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u7406\u4e8b Michelle Bowman \u4e00\u8d77\u6295\u4e0b\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u5e94\u8be5\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea 1993 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u6709\u4e24\u4f4d\u7406\u4e8b\u540c\u65f6\u53cd\u5bf9\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u51b3\u8bae\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5ddd\u666e\u73b0\u5728\u9700\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u65e2\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u964d\u606f\u3001\u53c8\u4e0d\u4f1a\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u767d\u5bab\u5080\u5121\u7684\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff1b\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0cWaller \u4f3c\u4e4e\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7b26\u5408\u8981\u6c42\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u653f\u6cbb\u55c5\u89c9\uff0c\u6311\u65f6\u673a\u8868\u7acb\u573a<\/h1>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u8981\u4e86\u89e3 Waller\uff0c\u8fd8\u5f97\u4ece\u8fd9\u5f20\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\u8bf4\u8d77\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5148\u89e3\u91ca\u4e00\u4e0b\u80cc\u666f\uff1a\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08FOMC\uff09\u6bcf\u5e74\u5f00 8 \u6b21\u4f1a\uff0c\u51b3\u5b9a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5229\u7387\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u603b\u95f8\u95e8\uff0c\u5b83\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u94f6\u884c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u6240\u6709\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4e0e\u4f1a\u8005\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u7684\u53d8\u52a8\u8fdb\u884c\u96c6\u4f53\u6295\u7968\u3002\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6295\u7968\u51e0\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u81f4\u901a\u8fc7\u3002 \u5728\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u6587\u5316\u91cc\uff0c\u516c\u5f00\u6295\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6743\u5a01\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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2025 \u5e74 7 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u7684 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u683c\u5916\u654f\u611f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u8fde\u7eed\u4e94\u6b21\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u5728 4.25%-4.5% \u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u5728 Truth Social \u4e0a\u65e5\u590d\u4e00\u65e5\u5730\u653b\u51fb\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u201c\u592a\u665a\u4e86\u201d\u3001\u201c\u611a\u8822\u201d\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u7acb\u5373\u964d\u606f\u523a\u6fc0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u800c\u5c31\u5728\u8fd9\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u4e24\u5468\u524d\uff0c7 \u6708 17 \u65e5\uff0cWaller \u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\u534f\u4f1a\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u6f14\u8bb2\uff0c\u8a00\u8bed\u5341\u5206\u5c16\u9510\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u300c\u6211\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e38\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u7684\u65b0\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u8c0b\u6740\u65b0\u4eba\u60ac\u7591\u5c0f\u8bf4 —\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u573a\u6f14\u8bb2\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u5c31\u662f\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a FOMC \u5e94\u8be5\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b\u800c\u51f6\u624b\uff0c\u4e5f\u6295\u5c04\u5230\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u6001\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\u5e76\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u592e\u884c\u5b98\u5458\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u51c6\u5219\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u6216\u8bb8\u662f Waller \u7cbe\u5fc3\u6311\u9009\u7684\u65f6\u673a\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u505a\u653f\u6cbb\u6e38\u620f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u63d0\u524d\u516c\u5f00\u53d1\u8868\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u591a\u5c11\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4e24\u5468\u540e\u5728 FOMC \u6b63\u5f0f\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\uff0c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u957f\u671f\u601d\u8003\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5c48\u670d\u4e8e\u67d0\u79cd\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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7 \u6708 30 \u65e5\uff0c\u5f53 Waller \u4e0e Bowman \u6295\u4e0b\u53cd\u5bf9\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u7968\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u786e\u5b9e\u662f 1993 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u6709\u4e24\u4e24\u4f4d\u7406\u4e8b\u540c\u65f6\u53cd\u5bf9\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u4f1a\u5f15\u4eba\u5173\u6ce8\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u8bfb\u51fa\u7684\u8baf\u53f7\u662f\uff0c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u58f0\u97f3\uff1b\u4f46\u5728\u5ddd\u666e\u53ca\u5176\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u8003\u5bdf\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u66f4\u50cf\u662f Waller \u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u8868\u6001\u548c\u7ad9\u961f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u66f4\u5de7\u5999\u7684\u662f\uff0cWaller \u4e5f\u5bf9\u73b0\u884c\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\uff1a\u300c\u5173\u7a0e\u662f\u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u51c6\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u6301\u7eed\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u300d\u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u6210\u4e86\u4ed6\u88ab\u5404\u8def\u5a92\u4f53\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u6807\u5fd7\u6027\u8bba\u8ff0\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u53e5\u8bdd\u7684\u6f5c\u53f0\u8bcd\u662f\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u786e\u5b9e\u4f1a\u63a8\u9ad8\u7269\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f46\u53ea\u662f\u6682\u65f6\u7684\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u56e0\u4e3a\u5173\u7a0e\u5c31\u4e0d\u964d\u606f\u3002\u663e\u7136\uff0cWaller \u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u65e2\u6ca1\u6709\u6279\u8bc4\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u964d\u606f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u57fa\u7840\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5316\u89e3\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u6cbb\u96be\u9898\uff1b\u6311\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u673a\uff0c\u8868\u8fbe\u4e0e\u603b\u7edf\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u964d\u606f\u7acb\u573a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5bf9\u8d4c\u524d\u8d22\u957f\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8f6f\u8457\u9646<\/h1>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\u6295\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\u5c55\u73b0\u4e86 Waller \u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u55c5\u89c9\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u5219\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u8fc7\u786c\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5148\u8bf4\u80cc\u666f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2022 \u5e74 6 \u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u8fbe 9.1%\uff0c\u521b 40 \u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5e74\u521d\u5b58\u4e86 1 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5230\u5e74\u5e95\u8d2d\u4e70\u529b\u53ea\u5269 9000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u9e21\u86cb\u4ece 2 \u7f8e\u5143\u6da8\u5230 5 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u8270\u96be\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u8981\u964d\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u5c31\u5f97\u5347\u606f\u3002\u5347\u606f\u4f1a\u8ba9\u8d37\u6b3e\u53d8\u8d35\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e0d\u613f\u501f\u94b1\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e0d\u613f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e70\u623f\u4e70\u8f66\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c31\u4f1a\u964d\u6e29\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u836f\u6548\u592a\u731b\u4f1a\u51fa\u4e8b\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u6bcf\u6b21\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u606f\u90fd\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u65f6\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u754c\u7206\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u516c\u5f00\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4e00\u8fb9\u662f\u4e09\u4f4d\u91cd\u91cf\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff1a\u514b\u6797\u987f\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u524d\u8d22\u52a1\u90e8\u957f\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\u3001\u524d IMF \u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5e03\u5170\u67e5\u5fb7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u54c8\u4f5b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u591a\u9a6c\u4ec0\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

7 \u6708\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53d1\u8868\u7814\u7a76\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e0d\u9020\u6210\\”\u75db\u82e6\u7684\\”\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u8981\u8ba9\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5fc5\u7136\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u7269\u7406\u5b9a\u5f8b\u4e00\u6837\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u662f\uff0c\u8981\u628a\u901a\u81a8\u4ece 9% \u964d\u5230 2%\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u5347\u5230 6% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u8457\u51e0\u767e\u4e07\u4eba\u4f1a\u5931\u4e1a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4f46 Waller \u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

7 \u6708 29 \u65e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0e\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Andrew Figura \u53d1\u8868\u8bba\u6587 \u300a\u8d1d\u5f17\u91cc\u5947\u66f2\u7ebf\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\u8f6f\u8457\u9646\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f \u300b\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u6311\u6218\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u626d\u66f2\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u63d0\u65e9\u9000\u4f11\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u56e0\u4e3a\u75ab\u60c5\u4e0d\u613f\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u865a\u9ad8\uff1b\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u771f\u7684\u90a3\u4e48\u70ed\u5230\u5904\u62db\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u613f\u610f\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u4eba\u53d8\u5c11\u4e86\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff1a\u8f6f\u8457\u9646\u662f\\”\u5408\u7406\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\\”\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4ec5\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8ba9\u901a\u81a8\u56de\u5f52\u6b63\u5e38\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

8 \u6708 1 \u65e5\uff0c\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\u548c\u5e03\u5170\u67e5\u5fb7\u8fc5\u901f\u56de\u51fb\uff0c\u79f0 Waller \u7684\u8bba\u6587\\”\u5305\u542b\u8bef\u5bfc\u6027\u7ed3\u8bba\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u548c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u9519\u8bef\\”\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u592e\u884c\u5b98\u5458\u901a\u5e38\u63aa\u8f9e\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u5b66\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e5f\u8bb2\u7a76\u5ba2\u6c14\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u90fd\u628a\u8bdd\u8bf4\u5f97\u5f88\u91cd\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u90fd\u5728\u7ef4\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u6027\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5f53\u7136\u7ad9\u5728\u8428\u9ed8\u65af\u8fd9\u8fb9\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u524d\u8d22\u957f\uff0c\u5e03\u5170\u67e5\u5fb7\u662f\u524d IMF \u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u3002\u800c Waller \u7684\u5496\u4f4d\u53ea\u662f\u4e2a\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684 18 \u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u516c\u5f00\u9a8c\u8bc1\u548c\u5bf9\u8d4c\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2022 \u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u843d\u3002 2023 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u538b\u529b\u7f13\u89e3\u3002\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u786e\u5b9e\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u4ece\u63a5\u8fd1 0% \u4e00\u8def\u52a0\u5230 5.5%\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u5931\u4e1a\u6f6e\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6765\uff0c\u4f46\u7ed3\u679c\u4ee4\u4eba\u610f\u5916\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5230 2024 \u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u964d\u5230\u4e86 3% \u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u53ea\u6709 3.9%\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u88c1\u5458\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2024 \u5e74 9 \u6708\uff0cWaller \u548c Figura \u66f4\u65b0\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u9898\u76ee\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u4e86\u4e2a\\”s\\” — \u4ece\\”\u8f6f\u8457\u9646\\”\u53d8\u6210\\”\u8f6f\u8457\u9646\u4eec\\”\uff08Soft Landings\uff09\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u5076\u7136\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cd\u590d\u7684\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u8d62\u4e86\u8fd9\u573a\u5bf9\u8d4c\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5b66\u672f\u4ea4\u950b\u4e5f\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86 Waller \u6709\u80fd\u529b\u6311\u6218\u6743\u5a01\uff0c\u505a\u51fa\u72ec\u7acb\u5224\u65ad\uff1b\u5bf9\u5ddd\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u66f4\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6562\u4e8e\u6311\u6218\u4e3b\u6d41\u3001\u76f8\u4fe1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u4eba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u52c7\u95ef\u534e\u76db\u987f<\/h1>\n<\/section>\n
\n

Waller \u548c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5728\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4efb\u804c\u7684\u4eba\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u6709\u8457\u4e00\u6761\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u804c\u4e1a\u8def\u5f84\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

1959 \u5e74\uff0cWaller \u51fa\u751f\u5728\u5185\u5e03\u62c9\u65af\u52a0\u5dde\u7684 Nebraska City\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ea\u6709 7,000 \u4eba\u7684\u5c0f\u9547\u3002\u7ae5\u5e74\u5728\u5357\u8fbe\u79d1\u4ed6\u548c\u660e\u5c3c\u82cf\u8fbe\u5ea6\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u5dde\uff0c\u8fdc\u79bb\u4e1c\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u7684\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u88ab\u4e00\u79cd\u4eba\u5360\u636e\uff1a\u5e38\u6625\u85e4\u540d\u6821\u6bd5\u4e1a\uff0c\u5728\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u5de5\u4f5c\u8fc7\uff0c\u6216\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u653f\u5e9c\u90e8\u95e8\u4efb\u804c\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u8bf4\u8457\u540c\u6837\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u6709\u8457\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u89c2\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u663e\u7136\u4e0d\u5c5e\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e00\u7c7b\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u7684\u8d77\u70b9\u662f Bemidji State University\uff08\u660e\u6bd4\u5b63\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u8fd9\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5b66\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff1b\u4f46\u4f60\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4ece\u6ca1\u542c\u8bf4\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f4d\u4e8e\u660e\u5c3c\u82cf\u8fbe\u5317\u90e8\uff0c\u51ac\u5929\u6c14\u6e29\u80fd\u5230\u96f6\u4e0b 30 \u5ea6\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6210\u957f\u73af\u5883\u6216\u8bb8\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u770b\u5230\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u5c0f\u9547\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e70\u623f\u4e70\u8f66\uff0c\u62c5\u5fc3\u5de5\u4f5c\u548c\u7269\u4ef7\u7684\u666e\u901a\u4eba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

1985 \u5e74\uff0cWaller \u62ff\u5230\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u751f\u6daf\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5148\u662f\u5370\u7b2c\u5b89\u7eb3\u5927\u5b66\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u80af\u5854\u57fa\u5927\u5b66\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u662f\u5723\u6bcd\u5927\u5b66\uff1b\u6574\u6574 24 \u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u90fd\u5728\u6559\u4e66\u548c\u505a\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u800c Waller \u7814\u7a76\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u5219\u662f\u8d27\u5e01\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6700\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u5206\u652f\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u7136\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4f60\u4e0a\u7535\u89c6\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4f60\u6210\u4e3a\u660e\u661f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u523b\u6216\u8bb8\u80fd\u6d3e\u4e0a\u7528\u573a\u3002 1996 \u5e74\uff0cWaller \u548c\u4ed6\u4eba\u5171\u540c\u64b0\u5199\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587 \u300a\u592e\u884c\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0e\u6700\u4f18\u4efb\u671f\u300b\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9645\u53c8\u5e94\u666f\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u7684\u4efb\u671f\u5e94\u8be5\u591a\u957f\uff1f <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u53d1\u73b0\u662f\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4efb\u671f\u592a\u77ed\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 2 \u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u4f1a\u5c48\u670d\u4e8e\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u60f3\u88ab\u518d\u6b21\u4efb\u547d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4efb\u671f\u592a\u957f\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 14 \u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u8131\u79bb\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e0d\u591f\u7075\u6d3b\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

25 \u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u7bc7\u7406\u8bba\u8bba\u6587\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u5b9e\u6218\u6307\u5357\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2020 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u5ddd\u666e\u516c\u5f00\u62a8\u51fb\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u3001\u8981\u6c42\u964d\u606f\u65f6\uff0c\u521a\u8fdb\u5165\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7684 Waller \u9762\u4e34\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u987a\u4ece\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u5bf9\u6297\uff1f <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4ed6\u9009\u62e9\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e09\u6761\u8def\uff1a\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u652f\u6301\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982 2025 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u516c\u6295\u5f00\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\uff1b\u4f46\u7406\u7531\u5fc5\u987b\u662f\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u603b\u7edf\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u964d\u606f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u611f\uff0c\u65e2\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u72ec\u7acb\u5230\u65e0\u89c6\u653f\u6cbb\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f9d\u9644\u5230\u5931\u53bb\u4e13\u4e1a\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u4ed6 20 \u591a\u5e74\u524d\u66fe\u7814\u7a76\u8fc7\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0cWaller \u6e38\u8d70\u5728\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u51ed\u76f4\u89c9\u5728\u8d70\u94a2\u4e1d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6709\u4e00\u5957\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5b66\u672f\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u7406\u8bba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u800c\u5728\u8fdb\u5165\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e4b\u524d\uff0cWaller \u4e5f\u66fe\u5728\u300c\u8bad\u7ec3\u573a\u300d\u6253\u602a\u5347\u7ea7\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u4e00\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7531\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u548c 12 \u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u7ec4\u6210\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u95e8\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u503e\u5411\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2009 \u5e74\uff0c50 \u5c81\u7684 Waller \u79bb\u5f00\u5b66\u672f\u754c\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u62c5\u4efb\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1\uff0c\u4e00\u5e72\u5c31\u662f 11 \u5e74\u3002 Waller \u7ba1\u7406\u8457\u4e00\u4e2a 100 \u591a\u4eba\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u65e5\u5e38\u5de5\u4f5c\u5305\u62ec\u5206\u6790\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3001\u64b0\u5199\u653f\u7b56\u62a5\u544a\u3001\u53c2\u52a0 FOMC \u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u771f\u6b63\u6539\u53d8\u4ed6\u804c\u4e1a\u8f68\u8ff9\u7684\uff0c\u662f 2019 \u5e74\u88ab\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u540d\u8fdb\u5165\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63d0\u540d\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u5145\u6ee1\u4e89\u8bae\u3002 Waller \u7684\u786e\u8ba4\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e5f\u4e0d\u987a\u5229\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u8d28\u7591\u4ed6\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\uff0c\u6bd5\u7adf\u662f\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u540d\u7684\u3002\u5171\u548c\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u5219\u62c5\u5fc3\u4ed6\u592a\u5b66\u672f\uff0c\u4e0d\u591f\\”\u5fe0\u8bda\\”\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2020 \u5e74 12 \u6708 3 \u65e5\uff0c\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u4ee5 48:47 \u7684\u5fae\u5f31\u4f18\u52bf\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u4efb\u547d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u7ed3\u679c\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u6295\u7968\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 61 \u5c81\u624d\u8fdb\u5165\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u6700\u9ad8\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\uff0cWaller \u6bd4\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7406\u4e8b\u90fd\u8981\u5e74\u957f\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u53cd\u800c\u6210\u4e86\u4f18\u52bf\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5927\u591a\u6570\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7406\u4e8b\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u662f\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\uff1a\u540d\u6821\u2192\u534e\u5c14\u8857\/\u653f\u5e9c\u2192\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728 40 \u591a\u5c81\u5c31\u8fdb\u5165\u6743\u529b\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u65f6\u95f4\u5efa\u7acb\u4eba\u8109\u3001\u5b66\u4e60\u6e38\u620f\u89c4\u5219\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u5b66\u672f\u754c\u5f85\u4e86 24 \u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u5730\u533a\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5f85\u4e86 11 \u5e74\uff0c\u76f4\u5230 61 \u5c81\u624d\u5230\u534e\u76db\u987f\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7406\u4e8b\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0cWaller \u6ca1\u6709\u592a\u591a\u5305\u88b1\uff0c\u4e0d\u6b20\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u4eba\u60c5\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u5728\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u94f6\u884c\u5f85\u8fc7\uff0c\u77e5\u9053\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u662f\u94c1\u677f\u4e00\u5757\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u58f0\u97f3\u4e0d\u4ec5\u88ab\u5bb9\u5fcd\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u8fd8\u88ab\u9f13\u52b1\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5f53\u5ddd\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u8bc4\u4f30\u8c01\u80fd\u63a5\u66ff\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7279\u8d28\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e74\u7eaa\u591f\u5927\u3001\u4e0d\u7528\u518d\u8bc1\u660e\u4ec0\u4e48\u7684\u4eba\uff1b\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u72ec\u7acb\u5224\u65ad\u3001\u4f46\u61c2\u5f97\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u4f53\u5236\u5185\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\u4eba\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5229\u597d\u52a0\u5bc6\uff1f <\/h1>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u5982\u679c Waller \u771f\u7684\u6210\u4e3a\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u54ea\u4e9b\u597d\u5904\uff1f <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u5e94\u662f Waller \u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\u4ed6\u5728 7 \u6708\u6295\u4e86\u53cd\u5bf9\u7968\u652f\u6301\u964d\u606f\u3002\u5ddd\u666e\u4e5f\u4e00\u76f4\u8981\u6c42\u66f4\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4f46\u4ed4\u7ec6\u770b\u4ed6\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

2019 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u52b2\u65f6\uff0cWaller \u652f\u6301\u964d\u606f\u3002 2022 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u901a\u81a8\u98d9\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u6fc0\u8fdb\u5347\u606f\u3002 2025 \u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u53c8\u8f6c\u5411\u652f\u6301\u964d\u606f…<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4ed6\u7684\u539f\u5219\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e5f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u8be5\u677e\u5219\u677e\uff0c\u8be5\u7d27\u5219\u7d27\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66f4\\”\u7075\u6d3b\\”\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u673a\u68b0\u5730\u9075\u5faa\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6839\u636e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u5feb\u901f\u8c03\u6574\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4f46 Waller \u7684\u771f\u6b63\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5728\u4f20\u7edf\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u4ed6\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u52a0\u5bc6\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u7b49\u65b0\u9c9c\u4e8b\u7269\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

8 \u6708 20 \u65e5\uff0c\u5f53\u88ab\u95ee\u5230\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u521b\u65b0\u65f6\uff0cWaller \u8868\u793a\u300c\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u62c5\u5fe7\u6570\u4f4d\u8d44\u4ea7\u521b\u65b0\u300d\uff1b\u4eca\u5e74 2 \u6708\u5728\u52a0\u5dde\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5219\u8868\u793a\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u662f\u300c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7528\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d27\u5e01\u7a33\u5b9a\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u6570\u4f4d\u8d44\u4ea7\u300d\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u662f\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u8d27\u5e01\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0a\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u6839\u672c\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u73b0\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u6570\u4f4d\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u662f\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u62c5\u5fc3\u6d17\u94b1\u3001\u62c5\u5fc3\u91d1\u878d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u62c5\u5fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4fdd\u62a4\uff1b\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u300c\u63a7\u5236\u98ce\u9669\u300d\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

Waller \u660e\u786e\u53cd\u5bf9\u592e\u884c\u6570\u4f4d\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u300c\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u5b83\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u7f8e\u56fd\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u7684\u4ec0\u4e48\u5e02\u573a\u5931\u7075\u95ee\u9898\u300d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u53e6\u4e00\u6761\u8def\uff1a\u8ba9\u79c1\u8425\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u8fdb\u884c\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u627f\u62c5\u6570\u4f4d\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4f46\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u60f3\uff0c\u90fd\u5efa\u7acb\u5728 Waller \u80fd\u627f\u53d7\u538b\u529b\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u7ecf\u5386\u8fc7\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u8003\u9a8c\u3002 2008 \u5e74\u96f7\u66fc\u5012\u95ed\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u6b63\u5728\u6559\u4e66\u3002 2022 \u5e74 FTX \u7834\u4ea7\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u521a\u8fdb\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u6838\u5fc3\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u4ece\u7406\u4e8b\u5230\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u804c\u4f4d\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u7406\u4e8b\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u8868\u4e2a\u4eba\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u53e5\u8bdd\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u64bc\u52a8\u5e02\u573a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u5f53\u6574\u4e2a\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u538b\u5728\u80a9\u4e0a\u65f6\uff0c\u300c\u521b\u65b0\u300d\u548c\u300c\u63a2\u7d22\u300d\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u6210\u5962\u4f88\u54c1\u3002\u5bf9\u52a0\u5bc6\u662f\u5426\u5b8c\u5168\u662f\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u6570\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u539f\u6587\u8fde\u7ed3<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u53d1\u5e03\u8005\u5bf9\u672c\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u627f\u62c5\u5168\u90e8\u8d23\u4efb
\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u524d\uff0c\u8bf7\u52a1\u5fc5\u6df1\u5165\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u76f8\u5173\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u8c28\u614e\u8bc4\u4f30\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u53d7\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4e0d\u8981\u56e0\u4e3a\u77ed\u671f\u9ad8\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u8bf1\u60d1\u800c\u5ffd\u89c6\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

<\/main><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u8ddd\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u4efb\u671f\u7ed3\u675f\u8fd8\u6709 9 \u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u8c01\u5c06\u63a5\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u804c\u4f4d\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u5df2\u7ecf\u70ed\u5316\u3002 \u5f8b\u52a8\u8d22\u7ecf\u56fe\u7247 \u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3457,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4919","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4919"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4919\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6882,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4919\/revisions\/6882"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4919"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.liaoxiaoha.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}